Ping Pong with Hamas?
It is true that Hamas is armed to the teeth with rockets and missiles, and is trigger-happy to use them on
is developing a nuclear weapon, with means of delivery – which is planned to
result in the decimation of Israel.
So why has
leadership and armed forces apparently been distracted into a parochial war against Hamas?
When the IDF assassinated Ahmed Jabari and his son Mohammed al-Homs last Wednesday, with gall and in broad daylight,
leadership surely knew it would provoke Hamas into a belligerent response.
Hamas so far has fired over seven hundred rockets and missiles at
population centers throughout the South, and even in central Israel. With no end in sight.
What’s the point in this deathly ping-pong with Hamas??
I propose that the answer is that it is a pre-emptive strike by
Israel, in advance of a
direct attack on Iran
One of the disincentives for Israel to attack
Iran's nuclear facilities, is the likely counterattack by Iran’s proxies.
There are three proxies on
borders, being the Assad regime in Syria,
the Hezbollah in Lebanon and
Hamas in Gaza. They
are each formidably armed - supplied and paid for by the Iranians.
Add this to
own long range surface to surface missiles, airforce and navy (including
submarines) – the result would be a four front war for Israel, placing
every town, indeed every Israeli, in immense peril.
This leaves Hamas and Hezbollah.
A month ago, the Yarmouk Arms in factory was destroyed in
reportedly by Israeli planes. Khartoum, Sudan Iran
was manufacturing Fajr-5 surface to surface missiles there, for onward shipment
through the Sinai to Gaza.
Indeed such an arms convoy from
Sudan to Gaza was destroyed, apparently by Israel,
in January 2009.
Last week, in the same hour that
Israel’s airforce assassinated Jabari,
the air force also aimed to destroy the assembly and storage facilities of Hamas’
missiles – with a particular eye on the long distance Iranian Fajr-5.
A result of this current operation in
will be to deplete Hamas’ supplies of surface to surface missiles – whether by
directly destroying them and their launchers on the ground, or by Hamas firing
them off towards Israel.
The new Iron Dome Air Defence system has also severely undermined the Grad and Fajr-5’s effectiveness.
If all else fails, the Israeli army ground forces will go in to finish this job on the ground in
Once this operation is complete, Hamas will be neutralized as an effective Iranian proxy, for at least a year or two.
Enough time for
strike on Iran.
Of course, this still leaves Hezbollah as a second proxy front for
Watch this space.