Turkey's NATO Card
There was an apparently small detail during Erdogan's histrionic efforts to distract the world from the defeat to
, delivered in the UN's Palmer Report. Turkey
Erdogan has slipped in an approval for a NATO radar early warning station to be located in
This early warning station, as part of a NATO missile defence system, is aimed at countering an Iranian ballistic missile threat against Europe/NATO.
By approving the station, Erdogan risks evoking the ire of
, a nation with which Erdogan has lately invested considerable resource in creating a warm relationship. Iran
So I am puzzled why Erdogan approved the new station, particularly in the context of his belligerent campaign against
Here's my theory – what do you think?
can try to goad Turkey into firing the first shot. (Such as Israel 's pre-emptive strike in the Six Day War). Israel
In such a case, Turkey's membership of NATO may give Turkey protection against Israel, if Israel is deemed an "aggressor" – as according to NATO rules, an attack upon one member, is considered an attack against all members.
This clause was invoked (for the only time) ten years ago, when Al-Qaida attacked the
. NATO jumped into action, participating in the Afghan campaign, to "defend" the New York Twin Towers . USA
However, leading NATO members, such as the
, USA , UK , et al, are most unlikely to leap into an armed conflict with Germany , on Israel 's say-so. Turkey
So these members could tell their NATO ally,
, to go jump – even literally throw them out of the NATO alliance, of which Turkey is a pretty ineffective and junior member (eg. Turkey solely managed to send some hospital ships to Turkey in the NATO support role of the rebels – and that was primarily to evacuate the thousands of Turkish subjects working for Kaddafi's regime). Libya
Indeed, the NATO members would have every reason to cry "foul" to Turkey, including referring to Clause 1 of the NATO Charter:
The Parties undertake, as set forth in the Charter of the United Nations, to settle any international dispute in which they may be involved by peaceful means in such a manner that international peace and security and justice are not endangered, and to refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force in any manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations.
I therefore suggest that the purpose of Erdogan's announcement about the radar early warning station which sacrificed Turkey's hitherto good relations with
, is in order to shore up Turkey's credentials with NATO. Iran
from an expendable NATO member, to a key ally, Turkey can goad Turkey into a first strike, and then call upon NATO to 'protect' Israel . Turkey
Even the prospect of
facing NATO in combat, is a strategic asset for Israel . Turkey